Elise Mertens vs Anna Blinkova Head-to-Head Stats, Results & Performance Comparison

• Second Serve Performance: Mertens has won 40.02% of points on her second serve, closely matching Blinkova's 40.05%. Who holds a slight edge here? Blinkova, albeit marginally.
• Return Game Capability: On second serve returns, Blinkova slightly edges Mertens by winning 51.23% of points compared to Mertens' 50.5%. On first serve returns, Blinkova is noticeably stronger with 32.55% over Mertens' 27.27%.
• Pressure Handling: Mertens has a slight advantage, saving 50.19% of breakpoints, which is better than Blinkova's 48.96%.
• Winning Percentage: Over the past year, Mertens boasts a higher win rate (64.29%) compared to Blinkova's 55.38%.
• Best Surface: Mertens excels on Hard courts with a win rate of 65%, while Blinkova's best is on Indoor Hard with 67%. On Grass, Mertens outperforms Blinkova, who breaks even at 50%.
• Level of Competition: Mertens competes against higher-ranked opponents on average (54.5) compared to Blinkova (130.22), indicating experience at a higher level.
• Deciding Set Performance: Blinkova has a better winning record in deciding sets at 60% compared to Mertens' 50%.
• Break Point Conversion: Blinkova is more efficient, converting 38.68% of break points contrasted with Mertens' 31.25%.

Editorial Prediction (August 18, 2025, UTC):

In a matchup with closely aligned second serve performances, the margins of superiority become crucial in determining a likely victor. Blinkova shows a slight edge in second serve return points and demonstrates a stronger capability on first serve returns, positioning herself favorably in return games.

However, Mertens counters with superior breakpoint-saving skills and a markedly higher overall match win percentage over the past year. Her experience against higher-ranked players further bolsters her credentials, suggesting she competes at a consistently challenging level.

Both players are closely matched in deciding set performance, with Blinkova holding a slight advantage, which indicates resilience under pressure. Additionally, when it comes to converting break points, Blinkova again slightly edges Mertens, indicating opportunistic efficiency in key moments.

Considering all these aspects, while Blinkova's recent form shows proficiency in return games and breakpoint conversions, Mertens' overall match win record, competition level, and experience may give her a significant advantage. Based on these factors, Mertens is likely to claim victory in the upcoming match.